Qarabağ vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
58
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
LEV
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 4
QAR
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 4
QAR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 0
SUM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 3
SPB
14%
18%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 1
TUR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 3
ZIR
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SUM
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ZIR
3 - 0
SEB
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |