Qarabağ vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
58
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
RAK
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 2
QAR
54%
22%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
QAR
4 - 0
LRI
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
LRI
1 - 2
QAR
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
QAR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 3
ZIR
26%
28%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 0
ZIR
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FCK
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
ZIR
23%
29%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 3
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |