Qarabağ vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 2
SUM
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 2
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
SEB
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
TUR
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TUR
4 - 0
FKN
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 3
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |