Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 2
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 1
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
SFK
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 3
SEB
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
SUM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |