Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
ZIR
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
SFK
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
QAR
5 - 0
FKQ
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 2
QAR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 3
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 0
SHA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
FKN
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 1
ZIR
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SUM
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 3
QAR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |