Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKB
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
FKN
3 - 2
QAR
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
QAR
24%
28%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REV
1 - 1
QAR
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 1
TUR
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SUM
2 - 1
AZA
19%
29%
52%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKB
19%
28%
53%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
SIM
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |