Qarabağ vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
77% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
19% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 3
QAR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 2
DZG
28%
24%
49%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 1
TUR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
QAR
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 7
QAR
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SEB
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
4 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 1
SEB
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |