Qarabağ vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
42
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 6
QAR
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
QAR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
QAR
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
TUR
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 3
SEB
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 0
SFK
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |