Qarabağ vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 3
QAR
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKB
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
QAR
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
TWE
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
SHA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAE
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
5 - 0
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
KAR
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
KAR
1 - 0
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |