Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Qarabağ vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
QAR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
QAR
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
4 - 1
MET
58%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SHA
4 - 1
QAR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKN
49%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
QAR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
FCS
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |