UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 0-9
Qarabağ vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
QAR
0 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 2
QAR
80%
13%
8%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
QAR
0 - 3
JAB
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
JAB
5 - 0
QAR
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
MPL
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LHA
1 - 1
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 2
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 2
MPL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |