Qarabağ vs MOIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
HÄC
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 6
QAR
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKQ
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 2
QAR
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MOI
2 - 1
ZAQ
47%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
MOI
10%
18%
73%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
MOI
4 - 0
CFK
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
MOI
9%
17%
75%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MOI
0 - 0
IRV
85%
10%
4%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | 0 |