Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 8-4
Qarabağ vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
QAR
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
LRI
51%
20%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LRI
0 - 2
QAR
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
QAR
32%
23%
45%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 5
QAR
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
5 - 1
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DNM
1 - 0
LUD
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
DNM
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 0
LUD
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |