Qarabağ vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 2
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 1
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 1
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
QAR
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
FKQ
4 - 2
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
20%
64%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 2
SEB
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 2
FKQ
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |