Qarabağ vs MFK Dukla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
FKD
3 - 0
QAR
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
QAR
3 - 0
IMI
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
QAR
0 - 1
DBA
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
QAR
2 - 0
SAF
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
FCK
0 - 1
QAR
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
FKD
3 - 0
QAR
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |