Qarabağ vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
1º
0
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
12 | 67 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 61 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 57 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 25 |
10º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
24% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 2
LUD
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
QAR
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
LRI
51%
20%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LRI
0 - 2
QAR
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 5
QAR
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCK
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
ZIR
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FKN
5 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |