Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Qarabağ vs EB / Streymur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
EBS
1 - 1
QAR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
BAN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 4
QAR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
QAR
38%
31%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKN
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EB / Streymur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
EBS
1 - 1
QAR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 2
TOF
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 1
HBT
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 2
TOF
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NSI
2 - 2
EBS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |