Qarabağ vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
HJK
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
RAK
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
41%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 3
TUR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
ZAQ
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
ARA
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 1
SFK
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |