Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Pyunik vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 3
PYU
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PYU
0 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GAN
4 - 3
PYU
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
PYU
2 - 1
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 4
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
GAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 3
VAR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHK
4 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |