Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
Pyunik vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
0 - 2
ALA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
ORD
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
0 - 1
PYU
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
PYU
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PYU
3 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 2
RAD
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
SHR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |