Puteolana vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
15º
15º
4
3º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 62 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puteolana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
PUT
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PUT
3 - 2
CYN
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RMS
0 - 0
PUT
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PUT
1 - 2
MAT
17%
19%
65%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LAV
4 - 3
PUT
40%
23%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
TCA
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CYN
0 - 1
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
HYR
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +5 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
POM
2 - 3
SAR
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |