Puszcza Niepolomice vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
18º
15º
33
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 1
PUS
43%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
4 - 2
PUS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
0 - 0
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
PUS
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
4 - 1
GDA
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 1
POG
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
CRA
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
CRA
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |