Puszcza Niepolomice vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
11º
17º
17º
19
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 55 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 54 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 53 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 48 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 39 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 38 |
18º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 1
PUS
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
4 - 2
PUS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
0 - 0
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
PUS
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
4 - 1
GDA
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 1
POG
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
CRA
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
CRA
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |