Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
18º
15º
41
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 1
PUS
30%
25%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
POG
2 - 1
PUS
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
PUS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PUS
0 - 6
GKS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RAK
2 - 0
PUS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 1
RAD
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 4
LPO
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 3
LPO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |