Puszcza Niepolomice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
18º
14º
38
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 36% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
PUS
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
PUS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 0
WLO
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
PUS
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 0
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
JAG
18%
20%
63%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
POG
1 - 1
JAG
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 3
JAG
43%
23%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
SLA
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
RAK
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |