Puszcza Niepolomice vs GKS Katowice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
11º
18º
18º
9
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
PUS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 2
CRA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 1
PUS
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
4 - 2
PUS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
0 - 0
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
GKS Katowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
GKS
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
3 - 0
GKS
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 2
WLO
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
GKS
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
3 - 1
JAG
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |