Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
Puskás Akadémia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puskás Akadémia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 3
PUS
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 0
MTK
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 3
AVA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 1
NYI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
PUS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 0
VNZ
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 3
PUS
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 7
FIO
13%
22%
66%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |