Liga 1 Indonesia 3rd - 4rd place
Global 4-2
Borneo Samarinda vs Bali United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borneo Samarinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PUS
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 3
MAD
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
PUS
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DEW
2 - 1
PUS
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
PUS
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bali United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PUS
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PER
4 - 2
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |