Borneo Samarinda vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borneo Samarinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 1
PER
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PUS
4 - 2
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PUS
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 3
MAD
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
PUS
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PRS
0 - 2
ARE
46%
22%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 5
ARE
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
ARE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
PSM
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 2
ARE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |