Purdue Fort Wayne vs Detroit Mercy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purdue Fort Wayne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
PFW
0 - 5
UIC
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
CSV
1 - 0
PFW
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RMC
1 - 0
PFW
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GBP
0 - 2
PFW
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
PFW
2 - 0
IUJ
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Detroit Mercy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DMT
2 - 1
IUJ
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DMT
1 - 3
OGG
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
MPT
1 - 0
DMT
77%
14%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
DMT
0 - 3
CSV
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
WSR
3 - 2
DMT
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |