Purbach vs Stinatz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 1
PUR
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
0 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KLI
3 - 1
PUR
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 1
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
PUR
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STI
0 - 4
DRA
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
JEN
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
STI
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STI
0 - 2
KLI
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
STI
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |