Purbach vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
PUR
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
SVE
1 - 1
PUR
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 0
NEU
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
PUR
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
PUR
1 - 1
STM
65%
20%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
HOR
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 2
NEU
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
STM
2 - 2
PIN
59%
19%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
KLI
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 1
PIN
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |