Purbach vs Neuberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
DRA
3 - 4
PUR
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PUR
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 0
GUS
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
SIG
0 - 1
PUR
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 2
STI
66%
20%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neuberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 1
GUS
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 5
NEU
10%
16%
75%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 1
STI
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCW
2 - 4
NEU
9%
15%
77%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NEU
7 - 1
SCB
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | 0 |