Purbach vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
STG
0 - 7
PUR
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 0
JEN
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 0
DEU
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
PUR
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
PUR
1 - 0
PIN
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
JEN
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 2
MAR
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
PIN
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 3
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |