Purbach vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
PUR
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
PUR
1 - 1
SVE
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
PUR
1 - 0
KLI
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
DEU
3 - 2
PUR
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PUR
5 - 1
MAT
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 4
EBE
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HOR
4 - 0
STM
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KLI
2 - 0
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 1
DEU
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
HOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |