Purbach vs Güssing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SIG
0 - 0
PUR
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 2
NEU
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
DRA
3 - 4
PUR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PUR
33%
26%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 0
GUS
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Güssing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 1
NEU
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 1
JEN
33%
24%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 1
GUS
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
GUS
3 - 1
DRA
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 0
GUS
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |