Purbach vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PUR
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
PUR
3 - 1
NEU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
PUR
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STI
1 - 0
PUR
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 1
JEN
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JEN
3 - 0
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
PAR
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KLI
5 - 3
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |