Purbach vs Winden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCB
1 - 1
PUR
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 2
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 0
PUR
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PUR
0 - 1
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAU
0 - 3
PUR
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Winden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 1
GUS
14%
19%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SIG
4 - 1
FCW
55%
22%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
0 - 2
STI
16%
20%
63%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 5
PAR
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCB
1 - 1
FCW
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |