Purbach vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 3
PUR
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PUR
0 - 1
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 2
GUS
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SIG
0 - 0
PUR
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 2
NEU
19%
21%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAU
0 - 1
STI
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
JEN
0 - 1
BAU
61%
20%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
KLI
0 - 0
BAU
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FCW
2 - 4
BAU
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |