Punta Umbria vs Rociana CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 2
PUM
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PUM
1 - 2
MOG
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
PUM
52%
22%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 1
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
PUM
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rociana CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ROC
4 - 0
RIO
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ICR
2 - 2
ROC
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ROC
4 - 2
TRI
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 1
ROC
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 3
ROC
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |