Punta Umbria vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
PUM
52%
22%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 1
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
PUM
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PUM
2 - 4
ICR
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 2
PUM
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOG
3 - 2
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ICR
1 - 1
MOG
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
4 - 2
MOG
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOG
7 - 0
CDF
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOG
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |