Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 1
PUM
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PUM
0 - 1
ATS
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AME
1 - 3
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
PUM
0 - 0
AME
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
PUM
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
PUM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
LEO
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |