Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
PUM
4 - 1
TIG
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 3
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
AME
0 - 3
PUM
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |