Liga MX Finals Cl. Final
Global 3-2
Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 2
PUE
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 3
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
PAC
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 0
JAG
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 3
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 5
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |