Pumas UNAM vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUM
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 1
PUM
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 2
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUM
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
PUM
5 - 0
DCU
68%
18%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 1
MOR
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |