Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Pumas UNAM vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 0
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PUM
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 0
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 1
EST
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |