Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 1
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 0
QRO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LEO
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
ATS
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |