Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
PUM
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUM
0 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUM
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUM
3 - 0
QRO
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
38%
27%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
PUM
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
RSL
0 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
RSL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |