Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Pumas UNAM vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
PUM
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUM
0 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUM
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |