Pumas UNAM vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 3
NEC
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
JAG
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 3
PUM
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
CHI
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
JAG
0 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |