Pumas UNAM vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 0
SAN
30%
25%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
5 - 0
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 4
PUE
32%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 4
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |